Methodology: The Penn Program on Opinion Research and Election Studies (PORES) national, SurveyMonkey poll was conducted from September 14-October 14, 2022 among Americans. To help contextualize how much the results can vary, it should be noted that the national popular vote poll of the 2020 general elections in the general election had an average margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points in the margin regardless of the size, sampling or method of data collection according to the AAPOR evaluation of 202 pre-election polls. The survey has an empirical error estimate, based on past analysis, of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. This number represents the best approximation of total survey errors for this project. All results were weighted to match the 2016-2020 American Community Survey sample by age, gender, race and education. Analyzes of subgroups of states were weighted according to the target populations in those states.
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